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Red27
17127.0
48614.0
910011.3
Blue82
201620.5
331433.7
164713.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277402040601001202782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#21
14.00.2
12.512.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.5
blue by 19.7
33.71.4
28.830.2
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End4.1
Second
9100
#14
11.30.2
10.410.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 9.1
2016
#17
20.51.4
18.519.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.4
End2.3
Third
1712
#28
7.00.2
7.27.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.7
End0.8
blue by 6.4
1647
#25
13.41.4
14.415.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned