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Red44
42720.6
31629.3
20313.1
Blue56
27224.7
48614.0
901517.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6652204060801001204456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#12
29.30.9
28.227.3
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
red by 4.6
272
#2
24.70.5
21.121.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Second
427
#26
20.60.9
15.714.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End0.6
red by 3.2
9015
#15
17.50.5
15.616.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End0.2
Third
203
#27
13.10.9
13.913.0
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 1.0
486
#21
14.00.5
12.312.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned