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Red70
878.1
17127.0
589538.6
Blue63
42720.6
218016.1
540122.6
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585750556065707063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.2
35.635.8
Auto17.1
Teleop18.6
End2.9
red by 16.0
22.60.1
19.419.5
Auto11.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
Second
87
#31
8.10.3
10.010.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
blue by 12.5
427
#26
20.60.1
14.814.9
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End0.6
Third
1712
#28
7.00.2
6.87.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.7
End0.8
blue by 9.0
2180
#20
16.10.1
17.517.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed