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Red50
87145.4
272224.3
255915.0
Blue57
549010.7
27224.7
910011.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484402060801005057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.3
22.923.3
Auto8.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
blue by 0.4
272
#2
24.71.1
21.622.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Second
15.00.3
14.214.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.5
red by 3.7
9100
#14
11.31.1
10.811.9
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Third
8714
#23
5.40.3
6.06.3
Auto3.3
Teleop0.8
End1.3
blue by 5.3
5490
#32
10.71.1
7.99.0
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned