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Red23
94169.8
272016.2
75877.9
Blue83
741421.1
48614.0
31629.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3664020801002383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2720
#13
16.20.8
15.314.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
blue by 13.1
316
#12
29.31.9
27.329.2
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Second
9416
#24
9.80.8
11.510.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 11.3
7414
#10
21.11.9
14.416.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Third
7587
#30
7.90.8
8.87.9
Auto6.2
Teleop2.0
End-0.3
blue by 6.1
486
#21
14.01.9
12.714.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed