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Red60
25547.8
457515.6
622616.8
Blue31
566612.6
901517.5
47508.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50402060806031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.3
17.417.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.0
End3.0
blue by 0.7
9015
#15
17.50.4
16.115.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End0.2
Second
4575
#16
15.60.3
15.915.6
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 2.9
5666
#33
12.60.4
13.613.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End0.3
Third
2554
#35
7.80.3
11.010.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 0.3
4750
#34
8.10.4
7.97.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed