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Red95
457515.6
10333.6
589538.6
Blue77
42720.6
437319.2
48614.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99442060801201409577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.7
36.737.4
Auto17.1
Teleop18.6
End2.9
red by 18.0
427
#26
20.62.1
14.916.9
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End0.6
Second
103
#5
33.60.7
30.431.1
Auto13.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
red by 14.4
4373
#22
19.22.1
16.518.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Third
4575
#16
15.60.7
15.616.3
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 1.5
486
#21
14.02.1
14.616.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed