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Red49
48411.5
910011.3
31629.3
Blue42
218016.1
255915.0
17127.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54340204060804942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#12
29.30.2
28.828.6
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
red by 13.2
2180
#20
16.10.2
18.218.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
484
#19
11.50.2
8.78.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End1.6
blue by 3.5
15.00.2
9.910.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.5
Third
9100
#14
11.30.2
9.08.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
red by 4.3
1712
#28
7.00.2
5.25.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed