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Red54
10333.6
901517.5
20313.1
Blue86
589538.6
331433.7
741421.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5680401001205486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#5
33.60.0
28.928.9
Auto13.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
blue by 5.0
38.60.5
30.831.2
Auto17.1
Teleop18.6
End2.9
Second
9015
#15
17.50.0
13.013.0
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End0.2
blue by 16.2
33.70.5
27.027.5
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End4.1
Third
203
#27
13.10.0
11.411.5
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 8.0
7414
#10
21.10.5
11.311.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned