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Red70
910011.3
589538.6
201620.5
Blue92
272224.3
31629.3
10333.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions749640601201401607092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.0
37.837.8
Auto17.1
Teleop18.6
End2.9
red by 5.0
103
#5
33.60.5
31.932.5
Auto13.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
Second
2016
#17
20.50.0
19.719.7
Auto6.8
Teleop11.4
End2.3
blue by 8.8
316
#12
29.30.5
27.828.3
Auto15.1
Teleop12.8
End1.4
Third
9100
#14
11.30.0
12.212.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 13.0
24.30.5
24.224.8
Auto8.4
Teleop14.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed