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Red26
902717.5
94169.8
25547.8
Blue78
331433.7
457515.6
164024.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368602060801001201402678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9027
#18
17.50.8
17.416.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End2.2
blue by 16.2
33.70.4
31.031.4
Auto11.9
Teleop17.7
End4.1
Second
9416
#24
9.80.8
11.410.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 14.9
1640
#11
24.70.4
24.725.1
Auto8.7
Teleop14.5
End1.5
Third
2554
#35
7.80.8
9.48.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 7.8
4575
#16
15.60.4
16.316.7
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed