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Red65
20313.1
164713.4
540122.6
Blue27
47508.1
878.1
272016.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563402040801001206527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.2
21.821.5
Auto11.7
Teleop8.3
End2.6
red by 6.4
2720
#13
16.20.4
15.915.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End1.8
Second
1647
#25
13.40.2
14.414.2
Auto6.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
red by 5.3
4750
#34
8.10.4
7.97.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End0.7
Third
203
#27
13.10.2
12.212.0
Auto6.2
Teleop4.0
End2.8
red by 4.9
87
#31
8.10.5
9.89.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed