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Red32
457515.6
32117.3
218016.1
Blue69
255915.0
589538.6
94169.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58722040801001203269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#29
17.31.7
19.117.4
Auto7.4
Teleop9.4
End0.5
blue by 21.2
38.60.7
37.837.1
Auto17.1
Teleop18.6
End2.9
Second
2180
#20
16.11.7
18.416.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
red by 1.1
15.00.7
14.814.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.5
Third
4575
#16
15.61.7
16.715.0
Auto7.3
Teleop7.1
End1.2
red by 5.7
9416
#24
9.80.7
10.69.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed