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Red50
25547.8
901517.5
164713.4
Blue53
10333.6
549010.7
87145.4
29%Model gave it71%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43542060801005053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9015
#15
17.50.8
17.316.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End0.2
blue by 16.1
103
#5
33.60.4
32.532.0
Auto13.4
Teleop18.1
End2.0
Second
1647
#25
13.40.8
14.213.4
Auto6.5
Teleop5.2
End1.7
red by 2.7
5490
#32
10.70.4
9.18.7
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Third
2554
#35
7.80.8
8.67.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
red by 2.4
8714
#23
5.40.4
5.85.4
Auto3.3
Teleop0.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed