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Red25
727411.4
87058.6
263817.5
Blue38
499112.9
350421.6
318113.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3840203050602538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#26
17.51.3
13.512.3
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 4.2
3504
#20
21.60.6
11.510.9
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Second
7274
#45
11.41.3
12.110.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 2.2
3181
#42
13.60.6
10.910.3
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Third
8705
#50
8.61.3
10.99.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End1.5
blue by 4.2
4991
#16
12.90.6
11.210.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed