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Red45
34927.2
913914.1
402722.6
Blue37
94156.3
222817.9
264112.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433201020506070804537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4027
#12
22.60.8
16.016.8
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 4.7
2228
#31
17.90.2
12.612.8
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End4.0
Second
9139
#15
14.10.8
10.411.3
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 1.2
2641
#43
12.90.2
9.59.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Third
3492
#46
7.20.8
11.011.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.3
red by 0.9
9415
#49
6.30.2
8.08.2
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed