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Red44
412118.5
67712.9
83938.7
Blue36
902212.2
415019.6
57810.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36392025304550554436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.2
11.812.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 1.1
4150
#18
19.60.1
14.014.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End2.8
Second
677
#37
12.90.2
9.810.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
red by 0.7
9022
#23
12.20.1
11.811.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Third
8393
#29
8.70.2
11.311.5
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
blue by 2.0
578
#48
10.70.1
9.39.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed