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Red34
201318.0
541312.6
11715.4
Blue66
155915.3
264112.9
350421.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3939203050603466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#32
18.00.2
12.212.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.5
blue by 3.6
3504
#20
21.61.8
10.912.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Second
117
#36
15.40.2
11.911.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End2.1
red by 0.2
1559
#17
15.31.8
14.216.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End0.8
Third
5413
#44
12.60.2
11.311.2
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 0.3
2641
#43
12.91.8
9.711.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed