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Red81
32529.5
225225.2
461126.2
Blue31
87058.6
683417.1
34927.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633402040801008131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#2
29.52.5
20.222.7
Auto10.7
Teleop18.3
End0.6
red by 12.4
17.10.4
13.112.7
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
26.22.5
18.020.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 17.5
8705
#50
8.60.4
9.69.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Third
25.22.5
15.417.9
Auto8.2
Teleop14.6
End2.3
red by 17.9
3492
#46
7.20.4
11.911.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed