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Red40
94156.3
90047.2
301528.8
Blue47
414518.6
239918.0
112615.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44453840424648504047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.5
20.219.7
Auto13.4
Teleop11.1
End4.4
red by 10.3
4145
#30
18.60.7
14.415.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Second
9004
#47
7.20.5
11.310.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End2.3
blue by 10.8
2399
#14
18.00.7
15.115.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.6
Third
9415
#49
6.30.5
8.27.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End1.3
blue by 9.2
1126
#13
15.50.7
11.111.8
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed