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Red75
402722.6
178729.9
205316.6
Blue46
263817.5
67712.9
947510.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623102040801007546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.92.5
22.925.4
Auto11.3
Teleop16.0
End2.6
red by 12.4
2638
#26
17.51.6
12.313.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Second
4027
#12
22.62.5
16.819.3
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 9.7
677
#37
12.91.6
10.011.6
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
Third
2053
#21
16.62.5
13.015.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 5.8
9475
#39
10.81.6
9.411.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed