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Red53
261424.7
499112.9
574016.7
Blue64
217215.7
320128.6
412118.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45473040506070805364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#33
24.70.7
17.218.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
blue by 3.9
28.62.5
13.315.8
Auto14.0
Teleop11.8
End2.8
Second
5740
#27
16.70.7
14.515.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
blue by 1.8
18.52.5
12.014.5
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Third
4991
#16
12.90.7
10.611.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
blue by 2.8
2172
#24
15.72.5
15.918.4
Auto7.8
Teleop6.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed