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Red76
415019.6
14421.9
69527.1
Blue41
751511.9
326015.2
222817.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533920306070807641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#11
27.13.3
17.420.7
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 9.2
2228
#31
17.90.4
12.813.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End4.0
Second
144
#10
21.93.3
14.718.0
Auto9.5
Teleop11.4
End1.0
red by 6.7
3260
#19
15.20.4
12.813.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
Third
4150
#18
19.63.3
14.117.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End2.8
red by 7.7
7515
#28
11.90.4
11.712.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned