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Red54
34019.2
40509.7
913914.1
Blue42
318113.6
727411.4
348415.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463902060801005442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#35
19.20.7
17.418.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End1.0
red by 4.1
3484
#41
15.10.4
15.015.4
Auto8.5
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Second
9139
#15
14.10.7
11.311.9
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 0.5
3181
#42
13.60.4
10.310.7
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Third
4050
#40
9.70.7
12.313.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 1.7
7274
#45
11.40.4
10.811.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed