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Red51
412118.5
499112.9
87058.6
Blue30
541312.6
90047.2
34927.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39370102030506070805130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.3
14.515.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
red by 5.9
5413
#44
12.60.4
11.210.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Second
4991
#16
12.91.3
11.312.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
red by 5.7
3492
#46
7.20.4
11.511.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Third
8705
#50
8.61.3
9.210.5
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End1.5
red by 1.5
9004
#47
7.20.4
10.710.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed