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Red48
32529.5
83938.7
683417.1
Blue37
67712.9
94156.3
14421.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54392060801004837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#2
29.50.1
22.722.8
Auto10.7
Teleop18.3
End0.6
red by 7.6
144
#10
21.91.1
18.016.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.4
End1.0
Second
17.10.1
12.712.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 4.2
677
#37
12.91.1
11.610.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
Third
8393
#29
8.70.1
11.511.7
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
red by 2.4
9415
#49
6.31.1
7.76.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned