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Red38
809612.4
415019.6
326015.2
Blue54
112615.5
402722.6
201318.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5447203040607080903854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4150
#18
19.61.1
17.416.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End2.8
blue by 3.0
4027
#12
22.61.2
19.320.5
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Second
3260
#19
15.21.1
13.212.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
blue by 2.8
2013
#32
18.01.2
12.013.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Third
8096
#38
12.41.1
17.416.3
Auto7.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 3.1
1126
#13
15.51.2
11.813.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed