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Red80
37924.8
178729.9
320128.6
Blue46
222817.9
11715.4
727411.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66362060801001208046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.92.6
25.428.0
Auto11.3
Teleop16.0
End2.6
red by 12.0
2228
#31
17.91.1
13.214.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End4.0
Second
28.62.6
15.818.5
Auto14.0
Teleop11.8
End2.8
red by 13.2
117
#36
15.41.1
11.712.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Third
379
#4
24.82.6
15.017.7
Auto11.0
Teleop8.4
End5.5
red by 13.4
7274
#45
11.41.1
11.212.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsEarned