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Red52
69527.1
348415.1
265617.4
Blue69
461126.2
263817.5
414518.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54555060655269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#11
27.10.4
20.721.1
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 0.9
26.22.2
20.522.7
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
2656
#22
17.40.4
12.713.0
Auto8.5
Teleop5.6
End3.2
blue by 1.2
4145
#30
18.62.2
15.117.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Third
3484
#41
15.10.4
15.415.8
Auto8.5
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 2.4
2638
#26
17.52.2
13.916.0
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed