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Red53
947510.8
261424.7
913914.1
Blue58
395416.8
902212.2
34019.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44522030406070805358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#33
24.71.3
18.019.3
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
red by 5.5
340
#35
19.21.1
18.119.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Second
9139
#15
14.11.3
11.913.3
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
blue by 2.7
3954
#34
16.81.1
14.715.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Third
9475
#39
10.81.3
11.012.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 1.4
9022
#23
12.21.1
13.514.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned