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Red79
225225.2
170820.3
155915.3
Blue21
57810.7
40509.7
239918.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574020801007921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.5
17.918.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.6
End2.3
red by 7.1
2399
#14
18.02.1
15.813.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.6
Second
1708
#25
20.30.5
15.916.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 9.6
578
#48
10.72.1
9.47.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Third
1559
#17
15.30.5
16.016.5
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End0.8
red by 5.5
4050
#40
9.72.1
13.010.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed