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Red37
217215.7
264112.9
751511.9
Blue99
350421.6
301528.8
205316.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455420304050607080903799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2172
#24
15.70.6
18.417.9
Auto7.8
Teleop6.1
End1.7
blue by 13.2
28.84.0
19.723.7
Auto13.4
Teleop11.1
End4.4
Second
2641
#43
12.90.6
11.511.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 8.7
3504
#20
21.64.0
12.716.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Third
7515
#28
11.90.6
12.111.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 4.6
2053
#21
16.64.0
15.519.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed