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Red37
326015.2
201318.0
265617.4
Blue54
34927.2
461126.2
947510.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41532030607080903754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#32
18.00.1
13.213.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.5
blue by 8.2
26.20.3
22.723.0
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Second
2656
#22
17.40.1
13.012.9
Auto8.5
Teleop5.6
End3.2
red by 6.6
9475
#39
10.80.3
12.412.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
3260
#19
15.20.1
12.111.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
red by 8.0
3492
#46
7.20.3
11.111.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed