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Red50
727411.4
320128.6
94156.3
Blue45
541312.6
348415.1
170820.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4049203060705045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.4
18.519.9
Auto14.0
Teleop11.8
End2.8
red by 8.3
1708
#25
20.30.0
16.416.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
7274
#45
11.41.4
12.313.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 3.7
3484
#41
15.10.0
15.815.8
Auto8.5
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Third
9415
#49
6.31.4
6.57.9
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End1.3
blue by 6.3
5413
#44
12.60.0
10.810.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed