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Red33
264112.9
809612.4
83938.7
Blue23
40509.7
87058.6
574016.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4439203050603323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#43
12.90.7
11.010.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 3.8
5740
#27
16.71.5
14.813.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
Second
8096
#38
12.40.7
16.315.6
Auto7.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
red by 2.7
4050
#40
9.71.5
10.89.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Third
8393
#29
8.70.7
11.711.0
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
red by 0.1
8705
#50
8.61.5
10.59.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed