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Red25
57810.7
751511.9
499112.9
Blue78
414518.6
402722.6
32529.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29730204060801001202578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#16
12.90.7
12.711.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
blue by 16.6
325
#2
29.51.9
22.824.7
Auto10.7
Teleop18.3
End0.6
Second
7515
#28
11.90.7
11.510.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 10.7
4027
#12
22.61.9
20.522.4
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Third
578
#48
10.70.7
7.36.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End1.9
blue by 7.9
4145
#30
18.61.9
17.219.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed