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Red53
170820.3
318113.6
264112.9
Blue59
947510.8
225225.2
326015.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425102060801001205359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#25
20.31.6
16.417.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 4.8
25.20.5
20.120.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Second
3181
#42
13.61.6
12.313.9
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 1.7
3260
#19
15.20.5
11.912.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
Third
2641
#43
12.91.6
10.311.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
red by 2.1
9475
#39
10.80.5
12.713.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned