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Red54
205316.6
414518.6
412118.5
Blue58
37924.8
34019.2
201318.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63542040801001205458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#30
18.60.8
19.218.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
blue by 6.2
379
#4
24.80.9
19.420.3
Auto11.0
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Second
18.50.8
17.516.7
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 0.7
340
#35
19.20.9
17.918.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Third
2053
#21
16.60.8
19.518.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 1.5
2013
#32
18.00.9
13.113.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed