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Red34
222817.9
155915.3
40509.7
Blue69
499112.9
32529.5
301528.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3974020601001203469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#31
17.90.6
14.013.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End4.0
blue by 11.7
325
#2
29.50.4
24.724.3
Auto10.7
Teleop18.3
End0.6
Second
1559
#17
15.30.6
16.015.4
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 13.6
28.80.4
26.325.9
Auto13.4
Teleop11.1
End4.4
Third
4050
#40
9.70.6
9.48.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 3.2
4991
#16
12.90.4
11.911.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed