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Red66
14421.9
350421.6
461126.2
Blue36
94156.3
261424.7
809612.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614420801006636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.2
21.722.9
Auto7.7
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 1.4
2614
#33
24.70.6
19.218.5
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Second
144
#10
21.91.2
16.017.2
Auto9.5
Teleop11.4
End1.0
red by 9.5
8096
#38
12.40.6
14.814.2
Auto7.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Third
3504
#20
21.61.2
15.516.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.4
red by 15.3
9415
#49
6.30.6
7.67.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed