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Red86
320128.6
32529.5
541312.6
Blue69
265617.4
301528.8
318113.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62602040801008669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#2
29.53.1
24.327.4
Auto10.7
Teleop18.3
End0.6
red by 0.7
28.80.3
25.926.2
Auto13.4
Teleop11.1
End4.4
Second
28.63.1
21.824.9
Auto14.0
Teleop11.8
End2.8
red by 11.2
2656
#22
17.40.3
14.514.8
Auto8.5
Teleop5.6
End3.2
Third
5413
#44
12.63.1
9.812.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 1.0
3181
#42
13.60.3
13.914.2
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned