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Red41
201318.0
222817.9
348415.1
Blue47
239918.0
751511.9
902212.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47452030405060704147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#32
18.00.1
13.913.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Level
2399
#14
18.00.1
15.715.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End2.6
Second
2228
#31
17.90.1
13.413.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End4.0
red by 5.7
9022
#23
12.20.1
13.613.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Third
3484
#41
15.10.1
14.714.6
Auto8.5
Teleop5.3
End1.3
red by 3.2
7515
#28
11.90.1
11.811.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned