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Red48
155915.3
947510.8
414518.6
Blue34
913914.1
727411.4
809612.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4947102030406070804834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4145
#30
18.60.5
17.016.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 4.5
9139
#15
14.12.6
14.612.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End1.8
Second
1559
#17
15.30.5
15.414.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End0.8
red by 2.8
8096
#38
12.42.4
14.211.7
Auto7.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Third
9475
#39
10.80.5
11.410.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 0.6
7274
#45
11.42.4
13.611.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned