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Red75
326015.2
574016.7
69527.1
Blue31
40509.7
395416.8
94156.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5634204060807531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#11
27.12.3
21.123.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 10.2
3954
#34
16.80.2
17.016.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End3.1
Second
5740
#27
16.72.5
14.416.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End1.3
red by 7.0
4050
#40
9.70.2
9.29.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Third
3260
#19
15.22.5
12.414.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.7
red by 8.9
9415
#49
6.30.2
7.06.7
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed