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Red35
318113.6
541312.6
263817.5
Blue56
14421.9
261424.7
201318.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4956203040607080903556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#26
17.51.0
17.816.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 7.3
2614
#33
24.70.7
18.519.2
Auto10.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Second
3181
#42
13.61.1
14.213.1
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 8.3
144
#10
21.90.7
17.217.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.4
End1.0
Third
5413
#44
12.61.0
12.911.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 5.4
2013
#32
18.00.7
13.814.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed