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Red23
34927.2
318113.6
94156.3
Blue32
67712.9
155915.3
37924.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36450204060802332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3181
#42
13.61.2
12.010.9
Auto7.8
Teleop3.8
End2.0
blue by 11.2
379
#4
24.81.4
13.912.5
Auto11.0
Teleop8.4
End5.5
Second
3492
#46
7.21.2
12.211.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.3
blue by 8.0
1559
#17
15.31.4
14.312.9
Auto2.5
Teleop12.0
End0.8
Third
9415
#49
6.31.7
6.38.0
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End1.3
blue by 6.6
677
#37
12.91.4
11.29.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed