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Red54
751511.9
809612.4
412118.5
Blue34
225225.2
263817.5
264112.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36490102030406070805434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.1
10.611.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 6.7
25.21.0
17.716.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Second
8096
#38
12.41.1
13.514.6
Auto7.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 5.0
2638
#26
17.51.0
14.513.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Third
7515
#28
11.91.1
9.710.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 1.0
2641
#43
12.91.0
10.59.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed