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Red53
170820.3
727411.4
402722.6
Blue24
683417.1
90047.2
350421.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43331020305060705324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4027
#12
22.61.2
14.816.0
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 0.9
3504
#20
21.60.8
12.311.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End1.4
Second
1708
#25
20.31.2
11.812.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 3.2
17.10.8
9.08.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Third
7274
#45
11.41.2
10.912.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.7
red by 4.2
9004
#47
7.20.8
9.78.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed