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Red32
11715.4
217215.7
34927.2
Blue40
541312.6
40509.7
809612.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50340102030406070803240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2172
#24
15.71.7
17.315.7
Auto7.8
Teleop6.1
End1.7
red by 3.1
5413
#44
12.60.7
11.912.6
Auto5.5
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Second
117
#36
15.41.5
17.015.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End2.1
red by 3.0
8096
#38
12.40.7
11.712.4
Auto7.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Third
3492
#46
7.21.5
8.87.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End0.3
blue by 2.5
4050
#40
9.70.7
9.09.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned