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Red35
205316.6
94156.3
112615.5
Blue51
902212.2
225225.2
499112.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42552060801003551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2053
#21
16.60.5
16.716.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 8.6
25.20.2
23.523.3
Auto8.2
Teleop14.6
End2.3
Second
1126
#13
15.50.4
16.015.6
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End2.2
red by 2.6
4991
#16
12.90.2
12.111.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Third
9415
#49
6.30.4
6.76.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.6
End1.3
blue by 5.9
9022
#23
12.20.2
12.412.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed